South Korea’s April Base Oils Exports Fall To 19-Month Low

Photo of oil tankers near Busan, South Korea
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Summary

·         South Korea’s April base oils exports fell to their lowest level in 19 months after front-loaded buying in March

·         Japan shipments climbed to a 17-month high, absorbing a larger share of reduced volumes and tightening availability elsewhere

·         The simultaneous slowdown in Taiwan's April shipments constrained another key regional supply source, tightening availability of both Group II and Group III base oils

South Korea’s base oils exports fell to a 19-month low in April, deepening a Northeast Asia supply slowdown and amplifying the impact of ongoing disruptions to Middle East shipments.

Total base oils exports fell to 276,500 tonnes in April from close to 390,000 tonnes in March, the lowest since September 2024 when plant-maintenance work curbed flows, Korea Customs Service data showed.

Graph showing monthly S Korea base oils exports
Exports fallKorea Customs Service

Exports fell from a five-month high in March, when buyers accelerated procurement ahead of expected second-quarter supply constraints as refinery maintenance coincided with feedstock disruptions from end-February.

Buyers’ higher inventories cushioned the initial impact of the April slowdown. But strong first-quarter demand in markets such as Southeast Asia and India already left stocks under pressure, increasing the need for improved supply in the coming months.

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Photo of oil tankers near Busan, South Korea

Key Highlights

·         Exports to Southeast Asia fell to a 16-month low as shipments to Thailand and Singapore slumped.

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Photo of oil tankers near Busan, South Korea

·         Shipments to Northeast Asia accounted for 27.5% of total exports, the highest share since end-2023, as supplies to the region remained steady.

·         Exports to Japan climbed to a 17-month high and extended their year-on-year increase for a fifth straight month.

Market Repercussions

The fall in South Korean exports coincided with a slide in Taiwan’s April base oils shipments to a 19-month low, squeezing availability from two of the region’s principal supply sources and increasing its reliance on Singapore for incremental Group II volumes.

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Taiwan’s April Base Oils Exports Fall To 19-Month Low
Photo of oil tankers near Busan, South Korea

The pause in Middle East Group III shipments compounded the pressure.

The loss of those supplies increased reliance on South Korea especially for premium-grade supplies for markets such as Japan, which typically imports around 8,000 tonnes/month of base oils from Qatar.

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Global Group III Base Oils Imports From Middle East Fall In Feb
Photo of oil tankers near Busan, South Korea

Stronger regional requirements for South Korea’s Group III base oils in turn curbed availability for other markets seeking alternative supplies to cover the pause in flows from the Middle East.

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