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Demand Outlook

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 6 Mar '26

Iain Pocock

  • Asia's January base oils exports rise to a 17-month high, as firm demand limits surplus build-up but leaves the market exposed to Middle East supply disruption.

  • South Korea's output hits a three-year high, building stocks ahead of plant maintenance and potential crude supply disruption.

  • Global Group III imports from the Middle East hit a six-year high in 2025, deepening reliance on supply lines now facing acute disruption.

  • US December demand surges for a sixth straight month, cushioning the impact of weaker exports.

  • Europe's Group I supply falls to a multi-year quarterly low at end-2025; Group II rebounds as a stable alternative amid Group III supply concerns.

  • Middle East cargoes sustain US Group III arrivals in March before a sharp April slowdown as loadings halt.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 6 March

Singapore’s Base Oils Exports Hit 3-Month High In Month To 4 March

Global Group III Imports From Middle East Hit Multi-Year High

S Korea’s January Base Oils Output Hits 3-Year High; Risks Loom

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